The Inductees
Barry Larkin and Ron Santo make up the Baseball Hall of Fame (HOF) class of 2012. Barry Larkin was the best shortstop of the 90s and, one could argue, something of a revolutionary player. Larkin played solid defense and had some pop... at shortstop. A position to that point epitomized by the Ozzie Smith’s of the world: light hitting, defensive wizards. Larkin bridged the gap between Ozzie Smith and a generation of shortstops who hit for power. Barry Larkin clearly deserves a place in Cooperstown.
Santo, however, is a different story. Ron Santo was an above average third baseman for a number of years, played excellent defense, and, let’s face it, he was a nice guy who grew in popularity after his time in baseball was done. Prior to the steroid era, there were certain benchmarks that put a player into the Hall of Fame. 3,000 hits. 400 homeruns. Santo didn’t reach either. The most memorable team he played for was the ‘69 Cubs, a team known for giving away a huge lead down the stretch. So he doesn’t hit historical benchmarks, and he doesn’t have that memorable moment that gets him in (see Bill Mazeroski and any other undeserving Hall of Famer who got in on the basis of a mediocre career with a flash of brilliance).
Baseball Reference.com has a wonderful feature where they discuss who a player is most similar to across eras both over the course of their career and by season. Santo’s #1 contemporary per Baseball Reference is Dale Murphy. For each year of his career, the third baseman he projects most closely to is Adrian Beltre. Murphy and Beltre are both nice players, but if they are Hall of Famers, we may as well open the door to anyone that plays decent baseball for a decade. It’s important to note that Santo never received more than 43% of the vote from the writers (75% is necessary for enshrinement) and was elected by the Veteran’s Committee. What does all this mean? It means Santo was enshrined because he was a good guy. He was well liked by his fellow players. His campaign picked up steam in recent years because of the wonderful documentary, This Old Cub and because of Santo’s enormous popularity as a wildly entertaining color guy for the Cubs on WGN.
The Steroid Era
Which brings me to the biggest HOF hot button issue since Pete Rose. What to do about the steroid era. This question will truly come to a head next year when both Bonds and Clemens are eligible for induction for the first time.
Jayson Stark over at ESPN has written some wonderful articles on this subject. Voters ultimately fall into a number of different camps. There are those who won’t vote for anyone from that era, there are those who won’t vote for anyone who ever was linked to steroids, there are those who are going to vote for everyone, and there are those that won’t vote for anyone who tested positive after MLB officially outlawed steroid usage.
If I had a HOF vote, I would vote for who I considered to be the best players of that era. The HOF is, first and foremost, a museum. It’s a museum that tells the story of baseball. There are exhibits to the pioneers of the game, to the individual achievements (see Roger Maris’ 61 home runs while the man himself fails to obtain induction), and to the players that meant something. The museum tells the tale of the greatest players of each and every era. The HOF includes pioneers (Jackie Robinson) and noble, well spoken men (Hank Aaron among others). It also includes cheaters (Gaylord Perry), racists (Ty Cobb), and any number of other shady characters. The HOF should not be a whitewashed exhibit that glosses over the stains on the game. The HOF sells nostalgia, but ignoring the scandals and negative history of the game makes it a representation of what we would like baseball to be rather than what baseball actually is.
In the history of baseball, two deserving men have been denied inclusion to the HOF on grounds beyond what happened on the diamond. Shoeless Joe Jackson and Pete Rose, on their merits, are the among the best that ever played the game. But they gambled on the game and their punishment is to never have their bust in Cooperstown. Equating the steroid era guys to that is complete and utter nonsense.
So how do you actually grade these guys? Admittedly, past HOF benchmarks cannot be used. 400 homeruns isn’t a reasonable benchmark anymore. Hell, based on the way Rafeal Palmiero has been treated, 500 homeruns is no longer enough. In my mind, the analysis hasn’t changed in 100 years. You get into the HOF in one of two ways. The first, a player is just on another level for a 6-7 year run. Think Sandy Koufax. Think Pedro Martinez. If you have that long of a run of being an elite player, you belong in Cooperstown. The second, you have a long sustained career of excellence. These guys might not have won an MVP award, but they were really good for a really long time with a couple brilliant years thrown in there (see Barry Larkin). If you take the guys from those two columns, you can pretty fairly replicate the baseball players who mattered over an era. To handle the voting in any other way just validates the fact that a large number of the HOF voters are sanctimonious a-holes.
If I Had a Vote
My ballot this year would have included:
Barry Larkin
Jeff Bagwell - 400 HRs and 200 steals. Name me another 1B that can claim that. Top 3 in MVP voting three times (won in the strike shortened 1994).
Tim Raines - loses points with the writers because of his admission that he didn't slide into second in the early 80s because of the vials of cocaine in his back pocket. Raines has the 5th most stolen bases in history (behind Rickey Henderson, Lou Brock, Billy Hamilton and Ty Cobb). Tim Raines was the Moneyball leadoff hitter before Moneyball (.385 career OBP). Raines, as the second best leadoff hitter of the modern era, gets my vote.
Mark McGwire and Rafael Palmiero - Grouping the two admitted PEDers together. Palmiero fits category 2 (really good for a really long time). Palmiero may have only finished in the top 5 in MVP voting once (5th 1999), but you can't argue with 3,020 hits. Palmiero is in. McGwire was the most feared hitter on the late 90s before Bonds stole the torch. He's absolutely in.
Edgar Martinez - Saving my last vote for my favorite. The argument that Edgar Martinez somehow is barred from the HOF because he was a DH is absurd. Closers are in the HOF and they only pitch an inning a game. If you are allowing specialized players into the HOF, why not a DH? Especially the greatest DH of all-time? And seeing as how Mark Reynolds, Adam Dunn and Ryan Howard all managed to play in the NL, doesn't it stand to reason that if Edgar Martinez had played in the NL between 1995 and 2001, he wouldn't have been able to be a terrible fielding first baseman (his worst season during that time was a .306/.423/.543 with 23 HRs and 116 RBIs)?
Feel free to debate in the comments...
The Lighter Side
Let’s look at some of the absurdities of Hall of Fame voting. One of my favorite things to do every year is look at what ridiculous players are on the HOF ballot. This year? Bill Mueller (you may remember him from his mediocre years on the Cubs) 4 votes. Brad Radke (really?) 2 votes. Eric Young and Javy Lopez (1 vote each - were their mothers awarded HOF votes?). Jeromy Burnitz, Rueben Sierra, Terry Mulholland. All somehow on the ballot. Brian Jordan (you may remember him as the last baseball/football player). And my personal favorite, Tony Womack. Yes, the same Tony Womack who, over the course of his career had a WAR (wins above replacement) of 1.2. That means that for his career, Tony Womack was a little over 1 win better than the average baseball player. Who puts Tony Womack on the HOF ballot? Absurd.
I love the HOF... debate in the comments.
Your Ron Santo argument is ridiculous. His numbers as a 3rd baseman stack up against others in the hall. For you sabermetric fans,
ReplyDelete"Let's look at the all-encompassing metric WAR. Where does Santo rank amongst all players in WAR? The answer is 105th. To put that into perspective, that's better than Hall of Famers Ozzie Smith, Willie McCovey, Roberto Alomar, Harmon Killebrew, Dave Winfield and Willie Stargell -- to name just a few. It's also higher than Hall of Fame teammate Ernie Banks and more recent Cub legends Ryne Sandberg and Andre Dawson."
More proof that Hobbserver is wrong -
http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/The-312/December-2011/Ron-Santo-Sabermetric-Star-Before-Its-Time-Finally-Makes-the-Hall-of-Fame/
http://www.chicagonow.com/cubs-den/2011/12/cubs-den-archives-the-case-for-ron-santo-and-the-hall-of-fame/
In regards to the steroids era, the numbers are so crazy, that its hard to figure out the best players of the era. How many first baseman from the 90s get in? In addition, do the "clean" players get penalized because of the juicers?
ReplyDeleteOne additional Santo thing - one common argument as to why he wasn't in the HOF earlier is because he was not liked by fellow players because of his heel clicking after a Cubs win. I don't know if I buy it, but it's out there. Santo's probably in the HOF because he's dead and he had lobbyists, but I don't think that makes him any less deserving.
ReplyDelete